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Posted by Bob Garby on October 26, 2001 at 06:23:31:
In Reply to: Last comment and then I'm done... posted by YSA on October 25, 2001 at 20:05:42:
"Anyway, since you have not pointed out any flaws in my previous posts, I still believe that my logic more accurately represents
what should be expected from 4 eggs produced from a het to het breeding. ie: Likelihood of 1 albino from 1 egg = 25%. Likelihood
of AT LEAST 1 albino from 4 eggs = 4 * 25 = 100%."
I understand what you're trying to get at here. You are trying to calculate the expected value, or mean, which is the product of the probability and the number of occurances. What confused me was your inclusion of the percentage sign above, indicating that the production of an albino was a certainty in a 4 egg clutch.
Yes, the expected number of albinos from a 4 egg, het-het clutch is 0.25 * 4 = 1
